Additional display functions and section 6 draft done
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@@ -32,3 +32,33 @@
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number={GSFC-E-DAA-TN14154},
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year={2014}
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}
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@misc{cassini,
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title={Cassini Mission Fact Sheet},
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author={NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory},
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url={https://solarsystem.nasa.gov/missions/cassini/mission/quick-facts/},
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journal={NASA Solar System Exploration},
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year={2018}
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}
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@inproceedings{polk2001performance,
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title={Performance of the NSTAR ion propulsion system on the Deep Space One mission},
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author={Polk, J and Kakuda, R and Anderson, J and Brophy, J and Rawlin, V and Patterson, M and Sovey, J and Hamley, J},
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booktitle={39th Aerospace Sciences Meeting and Exhibit},
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pages={965},
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year={2001}
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}
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@article{stough2021nasa,
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title={NASA’s Space Launch System: Capabilities for Ultra-High C3 Missions},
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author={Stough, Robert W and Robinson, Kimberly F and Holt, James B and Smith, David A and Hitt, W David and Perry, Beverly A},
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year={2021}
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}
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@article{c3capabilities,
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author = {Vardaxis, George and Pitz, Alan and Wie, Bong},
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year = {2022},
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month = {02},
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pages = {},
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title = {AAS 12-128 CONCEPTUAL DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF PLANETARY DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY (PDT) DEMONSTRATION MISSIONS}
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}
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249
LaTeX/thesis.tex
249
LaTeX/thesis.tex
@@ -955,32 +955,257 @@
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in order to fully traverse all basins.
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\chapter{Results Analysis} \label{results}
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Simply highlight that the algorithm was tested on a sample trajectory to Saturn.
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\section{Sample Trajectory to Saturn}
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Give an overview of the trajectory that was ultimately chosen.
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The algorithm described in this thesis is quite flexible in its design and could be used as
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a tool for a mission designer on a variety of different mission types. However, to consider
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a relatively simple but representative mission design objective, a sample mission to Saturn
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was investigated.
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\subsection{Comparison to Less Optimal Solutions}
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I should have a number of elite but less-optimal solutions. Honestly, I may write the
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algorithm to keep all of the solutions to provide many points of comparison here.
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\section{Mission Constraints}
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\subsection{Cost Function Analysis}
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Give some real-world context for the mass-use, time-of-flight, etc.
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The sample mission was defined to represent a general case for a near-future low-thrust
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trajectory to Saturn. No constraints were placed on the flyby planets, but a number of
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constraints were placed on the algorithm to represent a realistic mission scenario.
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\subsection{Comparison to Impulsive Trajectories}
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I may also remove this section. I could do a quick comparison (using porkchop plots) to
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similar impulsive trajectories. Honestly, this is a lot of work for very little gain,
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though, so probably the first place to chop if needed.
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The first choice required by the application is one not necessarily designable to the
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initial mission designer (though not necessarily fixed in the design either) and is that
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of the spacecraft parameters. The application accepts as input a spacecraft object
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containing: the dry mass of the craft, the fuel mass at launch, the number of onboard
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thrusters, and the specific impulse, maximum thrust and duty cycle of each thruster.
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For this mission, the spacecraft was chosen to have a dry mass of only 200 kilograms for
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a fuel mass of 3300 kilograms. This was chosen in order to have an overall mass roughly
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in the same zone as that of the Cassini spacecraft, which launched with 5712 kilograms
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of total mass, with the fuel accounting for 2978 of those kilograms\cite{cassini}. The
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dry mass of the craft was chosen to be extremely low in order to allow for a variety of
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''successful`` missions in which the craft didn't run out of fuel. That way, the
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delivered dry mass to Saturn could be thought of as a metric of success, without
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discounting mission that may have delivered just under whatever more realistic dry mass
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one might set, in case those missions are in the vicinity of actually valid missions.
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The thruster was chosen to have a specific impulse of 3200 seconds, a maximum thrust of
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250 millinewtons, and a 100\% duty cycle. This puts the thruster roughly in line with
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having an array of three NSTAR ion thrusters, which were used on the Dawn and Deep Space
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1 missions\cite{polk2001performance}.
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Also of relevance to the mission were the maximum $C_3$ at launch and $v_\infty$ at
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arrival values. In order to not exclude the possibility of a non-capture flyby mission,
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it was decided to not include the arrival $v_\infty$ term in the cost function and,
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because of this, the maximum value was set to be extremely high at 500 kilometers per
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second, in order to fully explore the space. In practice, though, the algorithm only
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looks at flybys below 10 kilometers per second in magnitude. The maximum launch $C_3$
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energy was set conservatively to 200 kilometers per second squared. This is upper limit
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is only possible, for the given start mass, using a heavy launch system such as the
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SLS\cite{stough2021nasa} or the comparable SpaceX Starship, though at values below about
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half of this maximum, it begins to become possible to use existing launch solutions.
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Finally, the mission is meant to represent a near future mission. Therefore the launch
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window was set to allow for a launch in any day in 2023 or 2024 and a maximum total time
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of flight of 20 years. This is longer than most typical Saturn missions, but allows for
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some creative trajectories for higher efficiency.
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It should be noted that each of these trajectories was found using an $n$ value of 20 as
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mentioned previously, but in post-processing, the trajectory was refined to utilize a
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slightly higher fidelity model that uses 60 sub-trajectories per orbit. This serves to
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provide better plots for display, higher fidelity analyses, as well as to highlight the
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efficacy of the lower fidelity method. Orbits can be found quickly in the lower fidelity
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model and easily refined later by re-running the NLP solver at a higher $n$ value.
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\subsection{Cost Function}
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Each mission optimization also allows for the definition of a cost function. This
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cost function accepts as inputs all parameters of the mission, the maximum $C_3$ at
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launch and the maximum excess hyperbolic velocity at arrival.
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The cost function used for this mission first generated normalized values for fuel
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usage and launch energy. The fuel usage number is determined by dividing the fuel
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used by the mass at launch and the $C_3$ number is determined by dividing the $C_3$
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at launch by the maximum allowed. These two numbers are then weighted, with the fuel
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usage value getting a weight of three and the launch energy value getting a weight
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of one. The values are summed and returned as the cost value.
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\subsection{Flybys Analyzed}
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Since the algorithm itself makes no decisions on the actual choice of flybys, that
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leaves the mission designer to determine which flyby planets would make good
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potential candidates. A mission designer can then re-run the algorithm for each of
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these flyby plans and determine which optimized trajectories best fit the needs of
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the mission.
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For this particular mission scenario, the following flyby profiles were
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investigated:
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\begin{itemize}
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\item EJS
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\item EMJS
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\item EMMJS
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\item EMS
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\item ES
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\item EVMJS
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\item EVMS
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\item EVVJS
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\end{itemize}
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\section{Faster, Less Efficient Trajectory}
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In order to showcase the flexibility of the optimization algorithm (and the chosen cost
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function), two different missions were chosen to highlight. One of these missions is a
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slower, more efficient trajectory more typical of common low-thrust trajectories. The
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other is a faster trajectory, quite close to a natural trajectory, but utilizing more
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launch energy to arrive at the planet.
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It is the faster trajectory that we'll analyze first. Most interesting about this
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particular trajectory is that it's actually quite efficient despite its speed, in
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contrast to the usual dichotomy of low-thrust travel. The cost function used for this
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analysis did not include the time of flight as a component of the overall cost, and yet
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this trajectory still managed to be the lowest cost trajectory of all trajectories found
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by the algorithm.
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The mission begins in late June of 2024 and proceeds first to an initial gravity assist
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with Mars after three and one half years to rendezvous in mid-December 2027.
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Unfortunately, the launch energy required to effectively used the gravity assist with
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Mars at this time is quite high. The $C_3$ value was found to be $60.4102$ kilometers
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per second squared. However, for this phase, the thrusters are almost entirely turned
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off, allowing for a nearly-natural trajectory to Mars rendezvous.
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\begin{figure}
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\centering
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{fig/EMS_plot}
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\caption{Depictions of the faster Earth-Mars-Saturn trajectory found by the
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algorithm to be most efficient; planetary ephemeris arcs are shown during the phase
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in which the spacecraft approached them}
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\label{ems}
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\end{figure}
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\begin{figure}
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\centering
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{fig/EMS_plot_noplanets}
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\caption{Another depiction of the EMS trajectory, without the planetary ephemeris
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arcs}
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\label{ems_nop}
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\end{figure}
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The second and final leg of this trip exits the Mars flyby and, initially burns quite
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heavily along the velocity vector in order to increase it's semi-major axis. After an
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initial period of thrusting, though, the spacecraft effectively coasts with minor
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adjustments until its rendezvous with Saturn just four and a half years later in June of
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2032. The arrival $v_\infty$ is not particularly small, at $5.816058$ kilometers per
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second, but this is to be expected as the arrival excess velocity was not considered as
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a part of the cost function. If capture was not the final intention of the mission, this
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may be of little concern. Otherwise, the low fuel usage of $446.92$ kilograms for a
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$3500$ kilogram launch mass leaves much margin for a large impulsive thrust to enter
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into a capture orbit at Saturn.
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In this case the algorithm effectively realized that a higher-powered launch from
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the Earth, then a natural coasting arc to Mars flyby would provide the spacecraft with
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enough velocity that a short but efficient powered-arc to Saturn was possible with
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effective thrusting. It also determined that the most effective way to achieve this
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flyby was to increase orbital energy in the beginning of the arc, when increasing
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the semi-major axis value is most efficient. All of these concepts are known to skilled
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mission designers, but finding a trajectory that combined all of these concepts would
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have required much time-consuming analysis of porkchop plots and combinations of
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mission-design techniques. This approach is far more automatic than the traditional
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approach.
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The final quality to note with this trajectory is that it shows a tangible benefit of
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the addition of the Lambert's solver in the monotonic basin hopping algorithm. Since the
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initial arc is almost entirely natural, with very little thrust, it is extremely likely
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that the trajectory was found in the Lambert's Solution half of the MBH algorithm
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procedure.
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\section{Slower, More Efficient Trajectory}
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Next we'll analyze the nominally second-best trajectory. While the cost function
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provided to the algorithm can be a useful tool for narrowing down the field of search
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results, it can also be very useful to explore options that may or may not be of similar
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"efficiency" in terms of the cost function, but beneficial for other reasons. By
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outputting many different optimal trajectories, the MBH algorithm can allow for this
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type of mission design flexibility.
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To highlight the flexibility, a second trajectory has been selected, which has nearly
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equal value by the cost function, coming in slightly lower. However, this trajectory
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appears to offer some benefits to the mission designer who would like to capture into
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the gravitational field of Saturn or minimize launch energy requirements, perhaps for a
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smaller mission, at the expense of increased speed.
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The first leg of this three-leg trajectory is quite similar to the first leg of the
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previous trajectory. However, this time the launch energy is considerably lower, with a
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$C_3$ value of only $40.4386$ kilometer per second squared. Rather than employ an almost
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entirely natural coasting arc to Mars, however, this trajectory performs some thrusting
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at about the apoapsis point of its orbit in order to raise the periapsis enough to
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rendezvous at roughly the same incidence angle in Mars' orbit, but one revolution ahead.
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In this case, the launch was a bit earlier, occurring in November of 2023, with the Mars
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flyby occurring in mid-April of 2026. This will prove to be helpful in comparison with
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the other result, as this mission profile is much longer.
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\begin{figure}
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\centering
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{fig/EMJS_plot}
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\caption{Depictions of the slower Earth-Mars-Jupiter-Saturn trajectory found by the
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algorithm to be the second most efficient; planetary ephemeris arcs are shown during
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the phase in which the spacecraft approached them}
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\label{emjs}
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\end{figure}
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\begin{figure}
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\centering
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{fig/EMJS_plot_noplanets}
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\caption{Another depiction of the EMJS trajectory, without the planetary ephemeris
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arcs}
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\label{emjs_nop}
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\end{figure}
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The second phase of this trajectory also functions quite similarly to the second phase
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of the previous trajectory. In this case, there is a little bit more thrusting necessary
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simply for steering to the Jupiter flyby than was necessary for Saturn rendezvous in the
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previous trajectory. However, most of this thrusting is for orbit raising in the
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beginning of the phase, very similarly to the previous result. In this trajectory, the
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Jupiter flyby occurs late July of 2029.
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Finally, this mission also has a third phase. The Jupiter flyby provides quite a strong
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$\Delta V$ for the spacecraft, allowing the following phase to largely be a coasting arc
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to Saturn almost one revolution later. Because of this long coasting period, the mission
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length increases considerably during this leg, arriving at Saturn in December of 2037,
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over 8 years after the Jupiter flyby.
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However, there are many advantages to this approach relative to the other trajectory.
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While the fuel use is also slightly higher at $530.668$ kilograms, plenty of payload
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mass is still capable of delivery into the vicinity of Saturn. Also, it should be noted
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that the incoming excess hyperbolic velocity at arrival to Saturn is significantly
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lower, at only $3.4774$ kilometers per second, meaning that less of the delivered
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payload mass would need to be taken up by impulsive thrusters and fuel for Saturn orbit
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capture, should the mission designer desire this.
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Also, as mentioned before, the launch energy requirements are quite a bit lower. Having
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a second mission trajectory capable of launching on a smaller vehicle could be valuable
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to a mission designer presenting possibilities. According to an analysis of the Delta IV
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and Atlas V launch configurations\cite{c3capabilities} in Figure~\ref{c3}, this
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reduction of $C_3$ from around 60 to around 40 brings the sample mission to just within
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range of both the Delta IV Heavy and the Atlas V in its largest configuration, neither
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of which are possible for the other result, meaning that either different launch
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vehicles must be found or mission specifications must change.
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\begin{figure}
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\centering
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{fig/c3}
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\caption{Plot of Delta IV and Atlas V launch vehicle capabilities as they relate to
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payload mass}
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\label{c3}
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\end{figure}
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\chapter{Conclusion} \label{conclusion}
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\section{Overview of Results}
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Quick re-wording of the previous section in a paragraph or two for reader's convenience.
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\section{Applications of Algorithm}
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Talk a bit about why this work is valuable. Missions that could have benefited, missions that
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this enables, etc.
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\section{Recommendations for Future Work}\label{improvement_section}
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Recommend future work, obviously. There are a \emph{ton} of opportunities for improvement
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including parallelization, cluster computing, etc.
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